MAT-07.SP.06
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7th Grade MAT Targeted Standards
Domain (SP) Statistics and Probability
Cluster: Investigate chance processes and develop, use, and evaluate probability models
MAT-07.SP.06 Approximate the probability of a chance event by collecting data on the chance process that produces it and observing its long-run relative frequency, and predict the approximate relative frequency given the probability.
For example, when rolling a number cube 600 times, predict that a 3 or 6 would be rolled roughly 200 times, but probably not exactly 200 times.
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Student Learning Targets:
- I can collect data on a chance process to approximate its probability.
- I can use probability to predict the number of times a particular event will occur given a specific number of trials.
- I can use variability to explain why the experimental probability will not always exactly equal the theoretical probability.
Vocabulary
Theoretical Probability
Experimental Probability
Relative Frequency
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| Rubric - Resources |
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MAT-07.SP.07
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7th Grade MAT Targeted Standards
Domain (SP) Statistics and Probability
Cluster: Investigate chance processes and develop, use, and evaluate probability models
MAT-07.SP.07 Develop a probability model and use it to find probabilities of events. Compare probabilities from a model to observed frequencies; if the agreement is not good, explain possible sources of the discrepancy.
- a. Develop a uniform probability model by assigning equal probability to all outcomes, and use the model to determine probabilities of events.
- b. Develop a possibly model (which may not be uniform) by observing frequencies in data generated from a chance process.
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Student Learning Targets:
Reasoning Targets
- I can explain the difference between theoretical and experimental probability of an event
Skills Domain (Performance) Targets
- I can find experimental probability of an event
- I can find theoretical probability of an event
Proficiency Scale
Link to Proficiency Scale PDF
Resources
Websites
Vocabulary
- probability
- theoretical probability
- experimental probability
- outcome
- event
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MAT-07.SP.07.a
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7th Grade MAT Targeted Standards
Domain (SP) Statistics and Probability
Cluster: Investigate chance processes and develop, use, and evaluate probability models
Develop a probability model and use it to find probabilities of events. Compare probabilities from a model to observed frequencies; if the agreement is not good, explain possible sources of the discrepancy.
MAT-07.SP.07.a Develop a uniform probability model by assigning equal probability to all outcomes, and use the model to determine probabilities of events.
For example, if a student is selected at random from a class, find the probability that Jane will be selected and the probability that a girl will be selected.
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Student Learning Targets:
- I can find the theoretical probability.
- I can find the number of favorable outcomes.
- I can find the number of possible outcomes.
- I can use a proportion to solve for the total number of outcomes or favorable number of outcomes.
- I can use theoretical probabilities to solve real-world problems.
Vocabulary
- List
- Event
- Outcomes
- Event
- Tree diagram
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MAT-07.SP.07.b
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7th Grade MAT Targeted Standards
Domain (SP) Statistics and Probability
Cluster: Investigate chance processes and develop, use, and evaluate probability models
Develop a probability model and use it to find probabilities of events. Compare probabilities from a model to observed frequencies; if the agreement is not good, explain possible sources of the discrepancy.
MAT-07.SP.07.b Develop a possibly model (which may not be uniform) by observing frequencies in data generated from a chance process.
For example, find the approximate probability that a spinning penny will land heads up or that a tossed paper cup will land open-end down. Do the outcomes for the spinning penny appear to be equally likely based on the observed frequencies?
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Student Learning Targets:
- I can find experimental probability.
Vocabulary
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MAT-07.SP.08
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7th Grade MAT Targeted Standards
Domain (SP) Statistics and Probability
Cluster: Investigate chance processes and develop, use, and evaluate probability models
MAT-07.SP.08 Find probabilities of compound events using organized lists, tables, tree diagrams, and simulation.
- a. Understand that, just as with simple events, the probability of a compound event is the fraction of outcomes in the sample space for which the compound event occurs.
- b. Represent sample spaces for compound events using methods such as organized lists, tables and tree diagrams. For an event described in everyday language (e.g., “rolling double sixes”), identify the outcomes in the sample space with compose the event.
- c. Design and use a simulation to generate frequencies for compound events.
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Student Learning Targets:
- I can find the theoretical Probability
- I can find the experimental Probability
- I can determine the relationship between experimental and theoretical probability
- I can predict the experimental probability of an event based on the theoretical probability
- I can determine the likelihood of an event occurring based on the probability
- I can use organized lists tree diagrams, tables, simulations, and mathematical computations to determine the probability of compound events.
Vocabulary
Compound events
sample space
tree diagram
outcomes
favorable outcomes
simulation
Proficiency Scale
Link to Proficiency Scale
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Rubric - Resources
Khan Academy
Theoretical Probability
Marble Probability
Compound Probability using a sample space
Compound Probability using a tree diagram
Dependent Events
Big Ideas Math: Probability is found in Chapter 9 of the Big Ideas math book
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MAT-07.SP.08a
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7th Grade MAT Targeted Standards
Domain (SP) Statistics and Probability
Cluster: Investigate chance processes and develop, use, and evaluate probability models
Find probabilities of compound events using organized lists, tables, tree diagrams, and simulation.
MAT-07.SP.08a Understand that, just as with simple events, the probability of a compound event is the fraction of outcomes in the sample space for which the compound event occurs.
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Student Learning Targets:
Knowledge Targets
Reasoning Targets
Skills Domain (Performance) Targets
Product Targets
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| Rubric - Resources |
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MAT-07.SP.08b
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7th Grade MAT Targeted Standards
Domain (SP) Statistics and Probability
Cluster: Investigate chance processes and develop, use, and evaluate probability models
Find probabilities of compound events using organized lists, tables, tree diagrams, and simulation.
MAT-07.SP.08b Represent sample spaces for compound events using methods such as organized lists, tables and tree diagrams. For an event described in everyday language (e.g., “rolling double sixes”), identify the outcomes in the sample space with compose the event.
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Student Learning Targets:
Knowledge Targets
Reasoning Targets
Skills Domain (Performance) Targets
Product Targets
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| Rubric - Resources |
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MAT-07.SP.08c
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7th Grade MAT Targeted Standards
Domain (SP) Statistics and Probability
Cluster: Investigate chance processes and develop, use, and evaluate probability models
Find probabilities of compound events using organized lists, tables, tree diagrams, and simulation.
MAT-07.SP.08c Design and use a simulation to generate frequencies for compound events.
For example, use random digits as a simulation tool to approximate the answer to the question: if 40% of donors have type A blood, what is the probability that it will take at least 4 donors to find one with type A blood?
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Student Learning Targets:
Knowledge Targets
Reasoning Targets
Skills Domain (Performance) Targets
Product Targets
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| Rubric - Resources |
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